Sunday Roast

After un an unproductive Saturday, Celtic could make up the losses by winning at Ibrox at 21/10. A lot will depend on the outcoems of late fitness tests to Forrest and Travernier however the Old Firm is a pretty even match up so 21/10 is worth a punt.

1 point – Celtic @ 21/10

Pigging Sheep Again

Aberdeen came good for us last week and I think they are value again today against the wretched Livingston. All things considered, you wouldn’t expect to see 13/10 for Aberdeen at home to Livingston. They’ve not had a great season but they are still 4th in teh league and have far stronger line up than Livingston. They also have something to play for, Livi have very little.

East Fife and Falkirk in League 1 make up the Tasty Treble. Normally I’d be looking at Peterhead here, but East Fife can get into play-offs, Peterheads season is over. Massive game at Cove, Falkirk should be right up for it. That’s your Tasty Treble folks!

Add Queen of teh South to really bump the value for a 4 fold. Couple of small stakes on Edinbugh City could to shock a Queens Parek side who’ve already won the league, and Ayr might just edge a tight game at Arbroath.

Tasty Treble
1 point – Aberdeen @ 13/10
1 point – East Fife @ 23/20
1 point – Falkirk @ 8/5

The Rest
1 point – Queen of the South @ 14/5
0.5 points – Edinburgh City @ 18/5
0.5 points – Ayr Utd @ 5/2

Dons to show their Glass

Pick of the day for me is Aberdeen. St Johnstone have been consistently strong since the turn of the year but the new manager boost at Aberdeen should be able to bring the best out of a group of players that are simply better than the Fake Saints. Once again, no crowds is our friend here, with the home advantage bias affording us 27/10 on Aberdeen getting Glass off to a winning start.

Same principle but not quite as good value down at Fir Park. Contrast the sharply dressed class act in charge at St Mirren with the ragged looking jakey currently running Motherwell and I don’t think home advantage justifies Motherwell the favourite tag. Saints are worth taking at 2/1 to edge it for a fourth Fir Park win in a row, (albeit one of them was on penalties in cup).

To make a very Tasty Premiership Treble, we’ll add Hamilton at home to Dundee Utd at 13/5. Hamilton are a nuisance for anyone the last couple of mmonths, and Dundee Utd have been unimpressive this season, they don’t dseserve to be favourites in a game that doesn’t mean much to them, but means everything to the dogged Acccies. 13/5 is good value.

Any one of those 3 sees us in a decent position but all 3 could come in at almost 40/1! Yum.

Elsewhere, Raith should come through at home to Arbroath and can be had at 6/5. And I particularly like the 17/2 on offer on Dumbarton at Cove Rangers. Worth a small risk.

Tasty Treble:
2 points – Aberdeen @ 11/4
1 point – St Mirren @ 2/1
1 point – Hamilton @ 13/5

Others:
1 point – Raith Rovers @ 6/5
0.5 points – Dumbarton @ 17/2

Midweek Pigs

Quick Pigs – midweek special:

Tasty Treble:
1 point – Inverness @ 11/10
1 point – Partick Thistle @ 13/10
1 point – Peterhead @ 13/10

Add ons:
1 point – Ayr Utd @ 3/1
0.5 points – Airdrie @ 19/5

Small Steaks

Not much to choose from in the league today – Hearts the bet of the day at evens, Alloa worth a small stake at 16/5.

A few more small stakes flutters on outsiders in the Scottish Cup. Stranraer the most likely, completing a not particularly appetising treble.

Not Particularly Appetizing Treble:

1 point – Hearts @ evens
0.5 points – Alloa @ 16/5
0.5 point – Stranraer @ 21/10

Scottish Cup Outsiders:

0.5 points – Hamilton @ 7/2
0.2 points – Partick Thistle @ 9/1
0.2 points – Dumbarton @ 22/1

Pigging the Underhogs

Navigating the bleak landscape in search of profit in the Covid world is a challenge, with teams struggling to find consistency. Even the Pig is meerly teetering above profit at 2.1% ROI. A couple of bad weeks could wipe that out.

Still, some predictable patterns have emerged, and probably in the most expected ways. Firstly, away teams have benefited. Makes sense. So much so that blindly backing all away teams since start of season would have seen a small profit. No fans have also proven to be a leveller with much more underdogs winning, home and away. So we try to stay away from short odds teams, especially home ones. Home advantage should be virtually nil.

Add to that the limited markets to choose from in Scotland and it’s difficult to find value. However the lower leagues opening up again brings us more scope.

So we have a few well priced selections this week, however Montrose and Inverness at just better than evens are still worth the risk as they are strongly fancied, especially Montrose. Add a nicely priced Stirling Albion away and you have a Tasty Treble. Some more generously priced selections could boost returns, even willing to risk a small wager on Queen of the South winning against an inconsistent Hearts side.

Tasty Treble
1 point – Inverness @ 11/10
1 point – Montrose @ evens
1 point – Stirling Albion @ 2/1

The Rest
1 point – Alloa @ 13/5
1 point – Airdrie @ 14/5
0.5 points – Queen of the South @ 15/2

Little Piggies

The restart of the lower leagues see a more cautious approach – small stakes today:

1 point – Queen of the South @ 19/10
1 point – Inverness @ 12/5
1 point – Cowdenbeath @ 9/4
1 point – Raith Rovers @ 9/5
0.5 points – Montrose @ 4/1
0.5 points – Peterhead @ 14/5