Saints Up for The Cup!

Not much doing today in the leagues. In the Premiership, Aberdeen and Motherwell seems faiurly priced and Rangers not worth any bets.

However the cup brings more interest. 4 teams who can all beat each other, St Johnstone are tempting at 9/4, but St Mirren is our value bet of the weekend. Livi might deserve to be marginal favourites, but I’d rate this a 50/50 game, especially given the fact it’s a Hampden cup game and Saints have beaten Livingston twice already. So 3/1 is more than welcome.

In the Championship, we can scrape a couple of small speculative bets. Ayr are 4/1 away to Dunfermline but for an even bigger return, I will chance a shock Raith away to Hearts. Raith are a good side, and capable of scoring goals if they catch Hearts on an off day. Unlikely but at 10/1, we don’t need to stake much to make it worthwhile.

1 point – St Mirren @ 3/1
0.5 points – Ayr Utd @ 4/1
0.5 points – Raith @ 10/1

Underhogs

I’m going to follow the pattern of this unpredictable season and go for 3 well priced underdogs today. We only need one out of 3 to be in profit, any more and it’s happy days. Only Queen of the South are favourites, but they are still well priced at 7/5. Both St Mirren and Kilmarnock are capable of getting results, and Dundee, though looking good of late, are still very unpredictable and managed by the hapless McPake. Ayr are also hot and cold so it makes a price of 17/4 worthwhile.

0.5 points – St Mirren @ 3/1
0.5 points – Kilmarnock @ 18/5
1 point – Queen of the South @ 7/5
0.5 points – Ayr Urd @ 17/4

Slim Piggings

Scottish Cup day! Cup games are difficult to call – only one selection catches my eye. Alloa at home to Cove Rangers at 17/10. Alloa are a consistent side and a division above a Cove Rangers team who I think are slightly over-rated. Alloa also have a decent cup record.

I’ll reluctantly add Motherwell away. St Mirren are rightly favourites, however Motherwell have strayed into value at 5/2 and have the new manager effect.

To complete a Tasty Treble we need to be a bit more creative today. I’m backing a boar-fest at Rugby Park. Less than 3 goals is even money and the best bet.

Elsewhere, two small bets on outsiders. Dundee Utd and Ross County. They are both shit, but this season is all over the place – no crowds has been a huge leveller, and outside the Old Firm anything can happen. Their prices are verty high so the view here is that they are shit – but not that shit.

In summary:

1 point – Motherwell @ 5/2
1 point – Alloa @
1 point – KilmarnockUnder3 @ evens
0.5 points – Dundee Utd @ 7/2
0.5 points – Ross County @ 6/1

New Year Feast

The unpredictable nature of this fanless season has made betting all the more difficult, we’ll be avoiding more of the short priced favourites and focusing more on the less fancied sides.

First up the Premiership. Hibs have gone slightly off the Boyle, and were probably a bit overrated, but they have surely crept into value against a Livingston side who are probably encroaching on over rated territory again. It’s Livingston for fuck sake, managed by the local crook. Hibs are a big price at 5/3 and worth taking.

Also in Premiership, managerless Motherwell have lost their way however they were unlucky earlier in season and have not suddenly become garbage. The removal of Robinson may give them a bounce. Even if it doesn’t Hamilton are a poor side despite recent upturn in results and Motherwell can propbably still be garbage and win here. But any upturn in performance here should see them win with some comfort as our only odds on bet of the day.

We head to the other end of teh leagues to complete the Tasty Treble. Stirling are neginning to pick up speed, and despite the unpreictability of Stenhousemuir, they are good value at 13/10.

That’s a nice Tasty Treble but there’s a feast of other value to consider for a good start to the year. Alloa were my first pick of the week. They can be had at 19/10 at home, have given most teams a tough game this season, and Morton are not highly rated. Elsewhere in the Championship, Hearts are liekly to win, but their price is a little too short.

I was ready to back St Mirren earlier in the week, however the prices between Kilmanock and Saints have reversed, and as such, so does the selection. Kilmarnock have now become worth a bet at 12/5. Likewise with Rangers. I do fancy them to win, but Celtics price of 27/10 gives us just about enough of a reward to take a small risk. Probably my dodgiest bet of the day.

Lastly – two longer odds worth a shout – Ross County at home, (7/2), and Peterhead away, (5/1).

A feast of value – enjoy! 🐖

Tasty Treble:

1 point – Hibernian @ 5/3
1 point – Motherwell @ 17/20
1 point – Stirling Albion @ 13/10

Add ons:
1 point – Alloa @ 19/10
1 point – Kilmarnock @ 12/5
1 point – Celtic @ 27/10

Long shots:
0.5 points – Ross County @ 7/2
0.5 point – Peterhead @ 5/1