Underhogs

I’m going to follow the pattern of this unpredictable season and go for 3 well priced underdogs today. We only need one out of 3 to be in profit, any more and it’s happy days. Only Queen of the South are favourites, but they are still well priced at 7/5. Both St Mirren and Kilmarnock are capable of getting results, and Dundee, though looking good of late, are still very unpredictable and managed by the hapless McPake. Ayr are also hot and cold so it makes a price of 17/4 worthwhile.

0.5 points – St Mirren @ 3/1
0.5 points – Kilmarnock @ 18/5
1 point – Queen of the South @ 7/5
0.5 points – Ayr Urd @ 17/4

Slim Piggings

Scottish Cup day! Cup games are difficult to call – only one selection catches my eye. Alloa at home to Cove Rangers at 17/10. Alloa are a consistent side and a division above a Cove Rangers team who I think are slightly over-rated. Alloa also have a decent cup record.

I’ll reluctantly add Motherwell away. St Mirren are rightly favourites, however Motherwell have strayed into value at 5/2 and have the new manager effect.

To complete a Tasty Treble we need to be a bit more creative today. I’m backing a boar-fest at Rugby Park. Less than 3 goals is even money and the best bet.

Elsewhere, two small bets on outsiders. Dundee Utd and Ross County. They are both shit, but this season is all over the place – no crowds has been a huge leveller, and outside the Old Firm anything can happen. Their prices are verty high so the view here is that they are shit – but not that shit.

In summary:

1 point – Motherwell @ 5/2
1 point – Alloa @
1 point – KilmarnockUnder3 @ evens
0.5 points – Dundee Utd @ 7/2
0.5 points – Ross County @ 6/1

New Year Feast

The unpredictable nature of this fanless season has made betting all the more difficult, we’ll be avoiding more of the short priced favourites and focusing more on the less fancied sides.

First up the Premiership. Hibs have gone slightly off the Boyle, and were probably a bit overrated, but they have surely crept into value against a Livingston side who are probably encroaching on over rated territory again. It’s Livingston for fuck sake, managed by the local crook. Hibs are a big price at 5/3 and worth taking.

Also in Premiership, managerless Motherwell have lost their way however they were unlucky earlier in season and have not suddenly become garbage. The removal of Robinson may give them a bounce. Even if it doesn’t Hamilton are a poor side despite recent upturn in results and Motherwell can propbably still be garbage and win here. But any upturn in performance here should see them win with some comfort as our only odds on bet of the day.

We head to the other end of teh leagues to complete the Tasty Treble. Stirling are neginning to pick up speed, and despite the unpreictability of Stenhousemuir, they are good value at 13/10.

That’s a nice Tasty Treble but there’s a feast of other value to consider for a good start to the year. Alloa were my first pick of the week. They can be had at 19/10 at home, have given most teams a tough game this season, and Morton are not highly rated. Elsewhere in the Championship, Hearts are liekly to win, but their price is a little too short.

I was ready to back St Mirren earlier in the week, however the prices between Kilmanock and Saints have reversed, and as such, so does the selection. Kilmarnock have now become worth a bet at 12/5. Likewise with Rangers. I do fancy them to win, but Celtics price of 27/10 gives us just about enough of a reward to take a small risk. Probably my dodgiest bet of the day.

Lastly – two longer odds worth a shout – Ross County at home, (7/2), and Peterhead away, (5/1).

A feast of value – enjoy! 🐖

Tasty Treble:

1 point – Hibernian @ 5/3
1 point – Motherwell @ 17/20
1 point – Stirling Albion @ 13/10

Add ons:
1 point – Alloa @ 19/10
1 point – Kilmarnock @ 12/5
1 point – Celtic @ 27/10

Long shots:
0.5 points – Ross County @ 7/2
0.5 point – Peterhead @ 5/1

Hogmanay Special

Finish the New Year in style – collection of midweek picks in the Scottish Leagues:

2 points – St Johnstone @ 8/15
1 points – Ayr Utd @ 11/10
1 points – Raith Rovers @ 4/6
1 points – Aberdeen @ 19/10
1 point – Celtic to win to nil @ 19/20
1 point – Rangers to win to nil @ 11/10

Boxing Day Bacon

Kilmarnock have been on a dire run of late, and the appointment of that crook at Livingston has given them a boost in performnace. Kilmarnock haven’t managed to score a goal yet in December, and in fact have scored no goals in 7 of their last 9 league matches. However games have been littered with sending offs or against tougher opposition. If they can keep 11 men on the park, Livingson at home is definitely winnable so the 5/2 on offer is worth taking.

Dundee Utd have been a thorn in the pigs hide this year, consistently winning against the run of play. I’m persisting with this one though and taking Motherwell away at 6/4. Motherwell have had a sticky spell, but they are a better side.

To complete the Tasty Treble, I’m taking the impresive Raith away against one nof my favourites, Alloa. This time, I think Raith will have too much.

Elsewhere in the Championship – Queen of the South are in a bit of a state, Dundee should fancy their chances down there even with their leaky defence, and I’ll take Dunfermline to win at home to Arbroath for a 5 fold.

In League one, Dumbarton and Partick Thistle are long enough odds to get invovled.

That your Boxing Day wrapped up folks! Enjoy.

2 points – Kilmarnock @ 5/2
1 point – Motherwell @ 6/4
1 point – Raith Rovers @ 5/4

1 point – Dundee @ 11/10
1 point – Dunfermline @ 4/5
1 point – Dumbarton @ 12/5
1 point – Partick Thistle @ 5/2

Ham Stakes

Can’t quite believe I’m staking money on Hamilton. To be 5/1, at home, against Livingston, I suppose just highlights how shite they are, but at that price I can’t help but get invovled. Hamilton have shown before they can find ways to win, usually with more than a sprinkle of luck, and they have managed to get a break against better teams than Livi.

St Mirren have been in outstanding form and are capable of causing Hibs problems – but HIbs at 11/10 have just become attractive enough to back. AT home they’ve been good and thrashed Dundee Utd 1-1 at the weekend. Saints will do wel to take anything here.

My strongest fancy makes up the midweek Tasty Treble. Dundee Utd have been riding their luck for somwe time, Kilmarnock are in a sticky patch but if they can hit anything like their normal levels they should be favourites to win.

That’s your Midweek Special Tasty Treble, served up just in time for Christmas! Tuck in! 🐖

2 points – Kilmarnock 9/5
1 point – Hibs @ 11/10
0.5 points – Hamilton @ 5/1

Pig stake against the Fakes

Should be a tight game when the Saints play the Fakes tomorrow, however St Mirren have been in outstanding form, outplaying Aberdeen, (twice), beating Motherwell, Livi and even Rangers. Even the last defeat 11 games ago was unfortunate up at Pittodrie. St Johnstone are a stiff side and another strong test, but I think the real Saints should be favourites here. We’ll take 11/5, I expect that will come in tomorrow.

Ross County are my pick of the day. You can never write Hamilton off, but I will anyway. Barring an act of spawn, (sending off, freak goal, or just being awarded the match 3-0), then they should be easily beaten here. Evens is generous.

Lastly, I think Ayr are a bit too keenly priced at 6/4 away to Arbroath. The Smokies can be a handful to beat at home, but signs are showing that they’ve had their time in the Championship.

A generously priced Tasty Treble to set us up for Christmas!

For a 5 fold, add a couple more odds on favourites. Strongly fancy both Montrose and Elgin at home at just under evens – both strong sides in their division against mediocre opposition.

Lastly, small stakes on Alloa and Stirling could yield dividends from higher prices.

In summary:

2 points – St Mirren @ 21/10
2 points – Ross County @ evens
2 points – Ayr Utd @ 6/4
1 point – Montrose @ 17/20
1 point – Elgin City @ 9/10
0.5 points – Alloa @ 14/5
0.5 points – Stirling @ 12/5

Pigs Picks

2 points – Hibernian @ 1/2
1 point – Alloa @ 3/1
1 point – Dunfermline @ 6/10
1 point – Dundee @ 9/4
1 point – Queens Park @ 11/10
1 point – Elgin City @ 1/2
0.5 points St Mirren @ 12/5

Pork Hide

Expect fewer posts in next few weeks. I’m aware of the huge disappointment this will bring to some, however as the festive season approaches, pigs need to lay low. It’s a good time to pause for a performance check and we can see that up to end of November we have yielded roughly 7% profit, for more detail see:

2020 Results Update

A bold Tasty Treble today to conclude this period. Livingston have been boosted by the Covid crisis at Tannadice, (some of the coaching staff have disgustingly and disgracefully caught Covid – string them up!), however I’d have taken them without any Covid influence so they are a strong fancy. Also in the Premiership, Kilmarnock should be able to take care of the dire Hamilton, whose luck seems to know no bounds having been awarded a 3-0 for free through the week. They’re still going to need a few more of their opponents to catch Covid if they are to have any chance of staying up.

To complete the Tasty Treble, add Elgin at home to Annan. I’m betting on the strength of Elgin here. Annan are very unpredictable so far, but they will need to be very good to take anything off one of the leagues top sides.

To complete a 4 fold Dundee just about make value at home to Arbroath. James McPake really puts me off Dundeee and he is doing his damndest to create a mess, but even with him at the helm they should be able to take care of Arbroath at home.

** Late addition! Forgot about Airdrie.. they are on a bit of a high, we can add them at 6/5 for a Fab Five.

Enjoy!

2 points – Livingston at evens
2 points – Elgin @ 7/10
2 points – Kilmarnock @ 19/20
1 point – Dundee @ evens
1 point – Airdrie @ 6/5